If we actually want Russia's people to be free of the authoritarian bullshit, then what is the "solution society" that they should progress towards? — Christoffer
The issue not being surprised vs. not being surprised at the sanctions, it's being surprised by the extent of them, which is a different issue. — Manuel
The other things mentioned, like alternatives to Swift, nationalizing foreign companies, etc., look to me to be more of a reaction than pre-planned. It's not as if they have many alternatives, they couldn't well not do anything. — Manuel
You just read what the Forum's official Putin troll has said here: — ssu
If there isn't a secondary alternative with the same level of quality for the citizens, then why don't we start with western standards and together improve up from there? — Christoffer
It still needs to be answered in order to have an alternative for Russia if the authoritarian regime collapses and something else is built upon those ruins. — Christoffer
My mother-in-law told me I'd never really understand Chekhov because I'm not Russian. — jamalrob
I'm not saying Russian elites were completely clueless or had no idea, but, I do think they very much over-estimated how easy this would be by a lot. — Manuel
You just read what the Forum's official Putin troll has said here:
Russia annexed Crimea in 2014, after years of EU and NATO expansion and constant Western interference in Russia and neighboring countries like Ukraine.
— Apollodorus
In any case, Russia cannot logically be expected to accept the Black Sea being turned into a NATO lake (controlled by NATO states Turkey, Bulgaria, Romania, Ukraine, and possibly Georgia).
— Apollodorus
And there would be a multitude of other references. Case closed. — ssu
We can only have so many different systems in place. Either everyone governs themselves, or everyone tries to govern the entire society, or a small group governs everyone, or people choose representatives to lead them, or someone leads everyone, or a machine or other being rules everyone. Or some combination between them. How do we give the most good for all within these systems — Christoffer
Yeah, losing face is probably the biggest problem now. They can't go home humiliated, or to state it another way, they will not. — Manuel
There are also reports - which again, taken with lots of salt - which say that Russia expected this thing to last about 2 weeks. Now, this may all be fake. — Manuel
Returning Ukraine, that is, turning it back to Russia, would be more and more difficult with every decade – recoding*, de-Rus-sification of Russians and inciting Ukrainian Little Russians against Russians would gain momentum. Now this problem is gone – Ukraine has returned to Russia.
But if people deny there's any plan, claim Putin is irrational, everything is an unmitigated disaster etc. and pointing out potential reasons for any decisions can be dismissed off hand, then the discussion can scarcely progress to the point of considering what plans Russia may have had or has and the chances of success.
Which is just lunacy, even if you consider Russia "the enemy" and "evil", indeed even more so, the idea evaluating your evil enemy's goals and chances of success is somehow helping the enemy rather than inviting defeat, is truly remarkable framework of reasoning. — boethius
Ah. Concrete evidence... yeah, that's a problem during a war, it is hard to know what's going on. Once this passes, we'll have the facts. — Manuel
What you say about proximity and people talking to each other and all the rest, yes, this makes the whole situation even more strange. — Manuel
But then there are reports of many Russian soldiers entering Ukraine simply not knowing what they were doing there, approaching civilians and asking for directions and the like. — Manuel
My problem is that a nation knowingly going to war with these kind of sanctions, does not fit into the "rational agent" idea, as in I don't think Putin would've been that irrational. After all, NATO now has a reason to exist, whereas it was struggling before. — Manuel
What convoluted explanation? ... it's a pretty usual military tactic to have some manoeuvres (even most) for the purposes of occupying as much of the opposing force as possible in order to then achieve your core objectives.
Yeah, Russians didn't take Kiev, while they secured a land bridge to Crimea, their core security interest.
Their other stated goals?
No Ukraine in NATO. Check.
"Demilitarise" which the President of Finland asked Putin what that meant, which he explained it was currently ongoing; i.e. degrade Ukrainian military capacity, which blowing up bases and equipment and so on accomplishes. Russia can far easier rebuild what it has lost (and still has plenty in reserve anyways) than Ukraine can. It's also been reported, seems by Ukrainian defence ministry, that basically their entire military industry has been blown up.
"De-nazify" basically means Azov battalion, which is in Mariupol anyways, which they need for their land bridge.
"Liberation of the Dombas," is advancing daily.
These are the stated military goals as stated and explained by both Putin and Russian generals.
These were also the core goals as explained by many Western experts before the war started, what Russia may have mobilized for.
It's not "convoluted" to point out they achieved those core goals ... which manoeuvres elsewhere in the country, in particular pressure on the capital, help achieve by spreading forces and supply lines thin (and making it easier to map and blowup said supply lines). — boethius
That quoted passage is just rationalization in apparent support of Russia. — Wayfarer
It's also been reported, seems by Ukrainian defence ministry, that basically their entire military industry has been blown up. — boethius
Sure. For logistical reasons, we would expect the Russians to try to make this a short war. That means take Kiev. If they don't, this war will rage on.
Nah. They wanted to take Kiev, but due to one part Ukrainian agile effectiveness and one part Russian sluggishness, they didnt. That's common sense. Doesn't mean Russia abides by common sense. — frank
You’d be absolutely justified in ignoring my posts. — Wayfarer
What are you arguing against? I don't think there's anything in the quote or what I said that says the Russians wouldn't have liked to have taken Kyiv immediately if they could have done that. — Baden
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