World being deterministic or not is a metaphysical question. If reality is actually a multiverse where the worlds are constantly changing, how would we know that from the determinist Block universe? And any way, how we model reality is the essential question.So you are saying that the world is deterministic, even though our models will never demonstrate that? — Ludwig V
Mmmh...how is it then with quantum physics and the use of probabilities.Yes. Physics doesn't have the conceptual apparatus to describe or even acknowledge choices. Ordinary life requires a whole different way of thinking. — Ludwig V
Because you cannot do something you won't do or cannot do.Why is that? — Patterner
Yes. And obviously there exist then other decisions that you didn't make when you made a certain decision. A lot of others, actually.Whether I chose to write a comment or not, it is a decision. — Patterner
Because there's the interaction! (If there would be NO interaction, if that something not part of this world, it could do it. At least the determinist would think so.)If, in principle, something with the perceptions and intellect to understand how all those physical events interacting translates to decisions and actions, and can forecast what response I would type, why would it not be able to forecast that I would choose to not respond? — Patterner
In my view, definitely.I'm basically asking the same thing again. Does ordinary life require a whole different way of thinking in the same sense that we need to think of large numbers of air molecules as thermodynamics, because we simply can't perceive such a gargantuan number, much less calculate all the interactions that will take place between all of them within the space they occupy? — Patterner
No, I think that our limits to modelling, extrapolation and forecasting do not show anything about free or constrained choices, because actions are a different category or language-game from events. For a start, they are explained by references to purposes and values, which have no place in theories of physics, etc. BTW, I think that the concept of free will is hopelessly loaded with metaphysical assumptions, and it would be much better to talk about freedom, free choices or free actions.So one could argue that free will (or interaction) is a limit to making models, extrapolation or forecasting, but it doesn't refute determinism. — ssu
Any events that are not determined by cause and effect are indeterminate. Freedom (or at least the philosophical version of it) is a language-game distinct from physics, etc.Determinism is not absolute. So, why assume human choices are forbidden by the gapless Chain of Cause & Effect? — Gnomon
Nor do I. On the contrary, I think that scientific explanation is a part of human life of culture.Personally, I don't think human Life, or Culture, is incompatible with scientific explanation. — Gnomon
I don't know about "in the same sense", because the cases are very different. But along the same lines, yes.Does ordinary life require a whole different way of thinking in the same sense that we need to think of large numbers of air molecules as thermodynamics, because we simply can't perceive such a gargantuan number, much less calculate all the interactions that will take place between all of them within the space they occupy? — Patterner
I don't think that the idea that everything in this reality is deterministic is an empirical hypothesis. It is a completely different kind of proposition. Think of it as a research programme that defines what questions can be asked about phenomena and when they have been answered. Does that help?Is everything in this reality deterministic, — Patterner
H'm. I probably don't know enough to evaluate that. But I would have thought that observer choices in setting up experiments and interpreting evidence have always played an essential role in science. Though it is true that scientists have mostly assumed that it is possible to observe phenomena without affecting them, and that only becomes inescapably false at the sub-atomic level.But the necessity for Observer choices --- in experimental set-up, and interpretation of evidence --- resulted in "a whole different way of thinking". — Gnomon
I like that. Can we stop talking about it now?We cannot logical deduce or find out answers to metaphysical questions. If we could, they wouldn't be metaphysical. — ssu
Yes. I was using physical indeterminacy as a parallel analogy to the philosophical question of Freedom vs Determinism. Do you consider philosophy to be an ideal "language game" of no importance in the "real" world?Determinism is not absolute. So, why assume human choices are forbidden by the gapless Chain of Cause & Effect? — Gnomon
Any events that are not determined by cause and effect are indeterminate. Freedom (or at least the philosophical version of it) is a language-game distinct from physics, etc. — Ludwig V
Yes. But, at the macro level, the minuscule "observer effect"*1 could be ignored. Only after scientists began probing into the microscopic level of physics did the Observer play a significant role in the outcome of an experiment.But the necessity for Observer choices --- in experimental set-up, and interpretation of evidence --- resulted in "a whole different way of thinking". — Gnomon
H'm. I probably don't know enough to evaluate that. But I would have thought that observer choices in setting up experiments and interpreting evidence have always played an essential role in science. Though it is true that scientists have mostly assumed that it is possible to observe phenomena without affecting them, and that only becomes inescapably false at the sub-atomic level. — Ludwig V
That's a difficult question to answer. Language-games are not well-defined entities. They are mostly useful as heuristics the "battle against the bewitchment of our intelligence by means of our language." Some of those bewitchments are very important. How effective philosophy is in neutralizing them is hard to discern. I don't justify philosophy any more than I justify science or art. All of them are worthwhile for their own sake, though one always hopes to be fighting on the side of the angels.Do you consider philosophy to be an ideal "language game" of no importance in the "real" world? — Gnomon
I was using physical indeterminacy as a parallel analogy to the philosophical question of Freedom vs Determinism. — Gnomon
Not really. I think that freedom is contextually defined, except where it is inapplicable. In each context, one needs to understand what counts as a constraint or compulsion, and that can be different.Do you see any relationship between physical freedom (mathematical value) and mental freedom*3 (metaphysical value)? :smile: — Gnomon
Well, if you are really desperate, it's worth considering. I'm surprised the parapsychologists haven't got in there years ago. It's really a wild west out there.Some scientists inferred that the mind of the scientist could play the role of a Cause in the experiment. — Gnomon
If indeterminacy is a mathematical concept, then so is determinism. At last, we'll get an answer. Oh, wait, mathematicians don't agree about anything, either.Indeterminacy is a mathematical concept ; whereas Freedom is a human feeling, derived from lack of obstacles to Willpower*2. — Gnomon
Now there's something to agree with, so long as it isn't taken to have metaphysical implications.Perhaps the brain does not operate in a "classical" way. — Gnomon
This is a good point. Free will is quite a loaded term, especially when you juxtapose free will with determinism. I think that's one of the problems here.BTW, I think that the concept of free will is hopelessly loaded with metaphysical assumptions, and it would be much better to talk about freedom, free choices or free actions. — Ludwig V
Well, I prefer it because it is so much easier to understand what is being said. But people seem to believe in it, and I can't work out why. The encyclopedias are not much help.And when you just talk about limitations to modelling and forecasting, the debate can avoid drifting to metaphysical questions. — ssu
Quite so. But nobody seems to be interested in teasing out the complexities. It's all Freedom (capital F) and never free (attention to context and cases.) What are the differences between addiction and preference? Can people who do something in a temper plead provocation? Can a sincerely held, but completely unjustified, belief excuse a crime? (I thought the person I killed was an alien invader). And so on. Endless real questions.This is a good point. Free will is quite a loaded term, especially when you juxtapose free will with determinism. I think that's one of the problems here. — ssu
I think I am finally understanding you. :grin: I don't know if you changed your wording in such a way that I finally caught on, or if I was just too dense to figure it out until now. The latter is certainly a good possibility, and I don't want to embarrass myself by going back and looking at what you were saying before.Just think about it: if this something with the perceptions and intellect to understand everything would now write here what you Patterner will say, how could it get it right? Because before you write you next comment you would read it, think about and comment on it. — ssu
Is it not the proposition of this thread? Some think it is, some think it isn't. Not to say we can prove it one way or thre other. If we could, there wouldn't still be new threads about it.Is everything in this reality deterministic,
— Patterner
I don't think that the idea that everything in this reality is deterministic is an empirical hypothesis. It is a completely different kind of proposition. — Ludwig V
That's great! :blush: Yet in actuality, this is quite hard, especially to understand the link to the undecidability results in mathematics. The link to a more general consequences what this means (what I know) has been made first by just one mathematician David Wolpert at the start of this Century (actually). At least in Wikipedia in the text about Laplace's Demon in arguments against it in "Cantor Diagonalization" it's cited. But it's not yet something in the logic textbooks and hence people don't know about it.I think I am finally understanding you. :grin: I don't know if you changed your wording in such a way that I finally caught on, or if I was just too dense to figure it out until now. — Patterner
Well, assuming LD would have quite an awesome knowledge base, it could give a year-long lecture about everything we have thought wrong about science. And likely many people would simply not get what it would try to explain to us. And just how many would be devastated when LD told us all the limitations of science and would refute any hopes of further advances! Poor LD with that perfect knowledge of science, a real party stopper.Without ever trying it, you and I are smart enough to see the problem that will arise if the thing with the perceptions and intellect to understand everything [Maybe we can just call it Laplace's Demon (LD)?] declares what my next post will be. I don't see any reason to think LD would not also see the problem. — Patterner
Exactly. You got it perfectly. It's a logical limitation on modelling or forecasting.It would, in fact, have perfect knowledge of what my response would be. And it would be unable to state that ahead of time without changing what I would have said. On and on and on. — Patterner
Yet notice that it's not anymore interacting. LD is then more of a historians ultimate event checker. But the issue of course is settled when LD doesn't interact with the World it's forecasting. But this naturally wasn't at all what Laplace had in mind. We are part of the universe ...and so are our models too.That doesn't invalidate the idea of determinism. Requiring LD to announce the forecast, and an endless chain of revised forecasts, is just setting up an impossible condition. LD wouldn't announce the forecast ahead of time. But it would know, if everything I think and do is the result of determinism. Maybe it could write it down, only to reveal it after I made my post. — Patterner
Sending information back in time, well, that's one way to say it ...but it's basically the LD argument. And the situation you earlier wrote (with the LD writing it down, but not showing to you).There is a science fiction book called ]I]Thrice Upon a Time[/i], by James Hogan. A scientist puts his friend in front of a computer. A small piece of paper prints out. The scientist looks at it, but does not show his friend. Then the scientist tells his friend to type six characters on the computer and hit enter. After the friend does that, the scientist shows him the print out from a minute earlier. It matches what the friend just typed. The scientist found a way to send that amount of information back in time one minute. — Patterner
But a thing with the perceptions and intellect to understand everything, whether or not it interacted with anything, is not a necessary part of an entirely deterministic reality. The fact that there isn't such a thing (someone recently told me why there could not be such a thing on another thread, although I never suspected there was) does not have any bearing on whether or not everything, including everything about us, is deterministic.Yet notice that it's not anymore interacting. LD is then more of a historians ultimate event checker. But the issue of course is settled when LD doesn't interact with the World it's forecasting. But this naturally wasn't at all what Laplace had in mind. We are part of the universe ...and so are our models too. — ssu
Well, naturally, the scientist tested it himself at first. I don't remember all the specifics of the conversation (it's been decades. But I have the paperback, so I'll check.), but I can't imagine he did not try to trick it.And here you see the obvious difference: there is no negative self reference loop. The friend doesn't know the information. As I've not read the book, I think the friend doesn't then say to the scientist "Why don't you do it yourself? Are you going obey and write what the paper says you to, or can you write something else?". How the writer would continue on, would be interesting... — ssu
If assumed that LD has God-like abilities, that's a different issue. The basic idea didn't start from the entity have other abilities except perfect knowledge of the laws of nature and perfect knowledge of the data about everything. Nowhere is it hinted that LD is in control of everything, the idea is really that the LD can perfectly extrapolate from current data and knowledge what the future will be.But a thing with the perceptions and intellect to understand everything, whether or not it interacted with anything, is not a necessary part of an entirely deterministic reality. — Patterner
How does that go? The computer prints the paper first, then the person writes what should be in the paper, that was printed earlier. At least that's how you described it. Fine if it's the friend who doesn't know what is on the paper. But here if the scientist himself reads the paper, then writes, you do have the illogical causality where LD got it's name. Because if the printed paper then defines what the scientist does, he's not anymore in command of himself and lacks that free will: he has to write or do what the paper tells him. That's why basically LD is said to be a D (unlike Laplace himself). Yet seeing some piece of paper usually doesn't somehow control scientists, hence it cannot be. Just as nobody cannot write here what you are going to write (or @Ludwig V will write in his future posts) before you have written it.Well, naturally, the scientist tested it himself at first. I don't remember all the specifics of the conversation (it's been decades. But I have the paperback, so I'll check.), but I can't imagine he did not try to trick it. — Patterner
Rejection of Laplace’s Demon
In the 19th century, Laplace claimed that it might be possible to predict the future under the condition that the positions and speeds of all items in the universe at a certain moment were known [3]. The entity that is able to make such a prediction is often called Laplace’s demon. This topic has been extensively discussed and investigated (see, for example, Hawking’s lecture [1]).
Recently, Wolpert [4] defined ”inference devices” and proved several theorems associated with them. One of the consequences of the theorems is that he disproved any possible existence of Laplace’s demon. The proof he used is based on Cantor’s diagonal argument. In this note, we present a much simpler proof using the Halting problem of a Turing machine [2]. Recall that the Halting problem can be stated as follows, ”Given the description of a Turing machine with some input string, in general, we cannot determine (predict) whether that Turing machine will halt. ”
We claim that if it is impossible to predict whether a Turing machine will halt, then it is impossible to predict the future. In other words, if we claim that we can predict the future, then we must be able to predict whether a Turing machine will halt. This result can be easily presented without any reference to Turing machines, or even to mathematics at all. Suppose that there is a device that can predict the future. Ask that device what you will do in the evening. Without loss of generality, consider that there are only two options: (1) watch TV or (2) listen to the radio. After the device gives a response, for example, (1) watch TV, you instead listen to the radio on purpose. The device would, therefore, be wrong. No matter what the devicesays, we are free to choose the other option. This implies that Laplace’s demon cannot exist.
Yes, that is my understanding of LD.If assumed that LD has God-like abilities, that's a different issue. The basic idea didn't start from the entity have other abilities except perfect knowledge of the laws of nature and perfect knowledge of the data about everything. Nowhere is it hinted that LD is in control of everything, the idea is really that the LD can perfectly extrapolate from current data and knowledge what the future will be. — ssu
Yes. That's why we could only ever conclude from the LD that prediction is not control and though the D may be said to determine, at least sometimes, in the sense of "discover", it cannot be said to determine in the sense of "control".No matter what the device says, we are free to choose the other option. — Ruckavicka above
I'm not quite sure what you mean. But I think that the important logical part of this is that the future is unlike the past in the sense that a prediction is not really true or false, but fulfilled or not. Compare G. Ryle "Dilemmas" Lecture II 'It Was To Be'. But I'm not aware that it has been discussed in the context of the symmetry of past and future in science.The limitation is essential part of logic, yet it's not understood as to be so. — ssu
Actually as I've studied economics in the university in the 1990's, at least it wasn't so back then. Economics just tries to use dynamical models which don't blow up. Yes, speculative bubbles, self enforcing expectations, Keynesian Beauty Contests are known, but their use is the problem! The math isn't there to use. Economics tries to use mathematical models. And, well, I think you can guess the problem lies (as we have been talking about a limitation on mathematic modelling).The effects of feedback of predictions on future action is very well known in economics, isn't it? — Ludwig V
The limitation on the modelling isn't generally known, although some discussion about it has been said.I'm not quite sure what you mean. — Ludwig V
I've enjoyed discussing the old Freedom vs Determinism question with you. But if you are going to place Metaphysics*1 off-limits in a philosophical forum, my arguments will be nullified, because the whole point is to explore the "metaphysical implications" of physical observations.I try not to mention metaphysics, since I don't know what it means. . . . .
Now there's something to agree with, so long as it isn't taken to have metaphysical implications. — Ludwig V
And, well, I think you can guess the problem lies (as we have been talking about a limitation on mathematic modelling). — ssu
Well, perhaps I'm ahead of the curve, for a change.And secondly, the result here isn't generally accepted or public knowledge. Just look at the references, videos or writings about LD. The usual idea is that since we have quantum physics, LD isn't happening because the physics isn't all Newtonian. But that's it. — ssu
I'll buy that. I'm sure we can get along and maybe occasionally agree to disagree. Most topics in philosophy seem to have only contested definitions, so there's nothing new here.let's just call it "Philosophy". — Gnomon
This is a philosophy forum, not a Communist Re-education Camp. So of course we are free to disagree. But, I suspect that we are not that far apart on the topic of this thread. So, once more into the breach . . .I'll buy that. I'm sure we can get along and maybe occasionally agree to disagree. Most topics in philosophy seem to have only contested definitions, so there's nothing new here. — Ludwig V
That's true only because of quantum indeterminacy. So, instead of strict determinism from big bang to present, there's numerous instance of probabilistic determinism along the way. It remains to be seen if quantum indeterminacy plays a role in mental processes (some think it does), but if so- it would only seem to add a random element to the otherwise fully deterministic processes, which doesn't make it more free (in a libertarian free will sense).The traditional arguments against human Freewill were typically based on the assumption that the whole world, from Big Bang onward, is a linear deterministic physical system. — Gnomon
Yes. That's why I'm only advocating FreeWill in a Compatibilist sense. Humans obviously don't have god-like magical freedom to do anything they want. But they are also not constrained from exercising a few degrees of freedom from absolute locked-in Determinism. If I choose to reach-out and pick-up a cup of coffee, I don't have to stop and think whether this choice was allowed by the all-powerful Big Bang roll-of-the-dice 14 billion earth-years ago. I just do it. My freedom is not an illusion, if the cup actually rises to meet my mouth.That's true only because of quantum indeterminacy. So, instead of strict determinism from big bang to present, there's numerous instance of probabilistic determinism along the way. It remains to be seen if quantum indeterminacy plays a role in mental processes (some think it does), but if so- it would only seem to add a random element to the otherwise fully deterministic processes, which doesn't make it more free (in a libertarian free will sense). — Relativist
Are you assuming reductive materialism is false? Otherwise, I don't see how you get any freedom from physical laws. There is only an illusion of freedom.Physical actions are indeed constrained by the limiting laws of physics. But meta-physical (mental) choices are not subject to physical laws --- perhaps only the laws of Logic. — Gnomon
One has to be careful about language here. What we can do is obviously constrained by our physical limitations. But what we can do is also enabled by our physical capabilities. The physical both constrains and enables what we do.Physical actions are indeed constrained by the limiting laws of physics. But meta-physical (mental) choices are not subject to physical laws --- perhaps only the laws of Logic. — Gnomon
I think we cannot get away with just saying that human freedom and laws of nature apply to different categories/language games. They obviously interact, and it is that interaction that we have to understand.That's why I'm only advocating FreeWill in a Compatibilist sense. — Gnomon
That's an interesting half-way house. But can deterministic theories explain how there can be an illusion of freedom?There is only an illusion of freedom. — Relativist
Here's my opinion.When I choose my sushi from what's on offer or a book from the shelf, is that a physical action, a mental action or a metaphysical action? (What's a metaphysical action?) — Ludwig V
Well, everything is basically a physical process in the physical universe. At least in one metaphysical World view.Here's my opinion.
Decision-making is a mental process, but mental processing is fundamentally a physical process of the central nervous system. — Relativist
I don't quite understand this. I could understand if you were talking about hypotheses. The journey from hypothesis (possibility) to theory (proven) is a long and tortuous one - blurred, if you like. But a model doesn't have a similar journey - unless there is a way in which a hypothesis can be a model or vice versa. Is that your point?We use models about reality to get answers to certain questions. Many times, those models aren't declarations of our views on ontological questions. Yet often the models are interpreted as how we think what reality actually is. The difference between reality and a certain model of reality (that answers certain questions about it) is blurred. — ssu
That's how I feel about it. But people keep using the word.Above all, do we have to fall into the pit of metaphysical discussions that we have no way of solving (and hence no way to climb out from)? There's no ladder there to reason your way out from the pit. — ssu
Are you saying that any theory that is incompatible with freedom (free will) is false on that ground alone? That's a good start. But many people speak as if determinism was true and we have to bear the consequences, yet seem to believe that determinism is an empirical claim. Even when there's empirical evidence against it, they don't give up on it. I think it has to be classified along with hinge and grammatical propositions, perhaps as a research programme.It's false to draw conclusions from a materialist World view that then free will or making decisions doesn't happen / is meaningless. — ssu
There are ways of determining what is real and what is not. Those ways differ depending on the kind of thing you are talking about, but they exist. Asking what's Real, as if there could be a single-non-context-dependent answer, is the metaphysical way and goes nowhere.Metaphysical questions of what reality really is, don't give an answer to this and deterministic world models are quite useless models to use in this place. — ssu
What material evidence do you have to support your belief that personal choice is illusory?There is only an illusion of freedom. — Relativist
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