Informative posts by you in this thread. Thanks. — Benkei
It's also interesting that the private calculus about the disease can run against what is socially advised. My dad is in a higher risk category, he's 70 years old and has chronic respiratory problems. If he develops corona now he's still assured to get the best health care the Dutch system can provide. If he gets it during the peak, this is not likely. — Benkei
I'm quite optimistic about the approach so far in the Netherlands. Less cases today (which are results from testing on Sunday) than the day before, peaking for now at 77 new cases on Saturday. No exponential growth so far unless they're not taking testing seriously. I was actually expecting triple digits in new cases by now. — Benkei
some people who carry the virus with no symptoms, including no increase in temperature. — Punshhh
Agreed, but the issue then becomes how does a country remain free of the virus when other countries have pandemics, or it is endemic? Surely there would have to be multiple travel bans. I realise that this might not be so much of an issue once a good vaccine has been produced, but there is no certainty that this will save the day."Get it over quickly" makes sense only in the useful-idiot framework of reasoning
What you say here might seem reasonable, but thinking it through it is the result of confusing two kinds definitions of the economy. — boethius
I thought that the market volatility today was due to a row between Saudi and Russia over oil prices. Which in turn was symptomatic of increasing uncertainty and volatility in economies around the world.The market reaction to this disease is disproportionate...
I agree, but I expect this will happen anyway in a couple of months from now. The UK government is already preparing financial help including grants to prop up such companies when they become unviable. It is going to be a Herculean effort,a war footing if we are to pull through without economic collapse.that curtailing all international travel would have on economies. Effects which would arguably be so great that governments would have no hope of propping up all those who would otherwise become bankrupt. You seem to be blithely ignoring the inter-connectedness and fragility of the global economic system.
Most predictions are that it will be at least 18 months before a vaccine is being administered. The tsunami will have come and gone well before that. Also, if the virus is related to the Cold, there might not be an effective vaccine.And, it's not like every country in the world is not working on a vaccine. Ya?
So which is it, save lives, or save economies? I think we know the answer to this choice. — Punshhh
It is going to be a Herculean effort,a war footing if we are to pull through without economic collapse. — Punshhh
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