So then to what do we owe the reality of the first element, a first tuner, if not an anterior one? Sure a finite regress all elements owe their reality to the first element, but I cannot see how that is true of an infinite one. — NOS4A2
I kind of see where the "nitpicky logic" tone that a lot of the threads degenerate into comes from now though. Top down I think. — Pantagruel
The argument was about the reasonability of believing in anything that isn't contradicted by existing evidence — Pantagruel
The argument is that infinite regresses are impossible. So that leads to there must only be finite regresses in reality. At the base of each such regress, there must be an uncaused cause; there is no other logical explanation.
To be uncaused means to be beyond time (there is no 'before' for a timeless thing - it has no cause).
There are quite a few ways to show that time must have a start (eg do you believe a greater than finite number of days has elapsed?) and if that is true, then logic points to the reality of something atemporal.
That leaves me as mostly deist and you as mostly atheist. That's your right. — Devans99
Would be interested if you could break your calculation down. — Devins
I’m aware of the argument but I do not see how it makes the case that infinite regresses are impossible. A first element presupposes finitude, so why would we apply it to an infinite regress? I agree that a finite regress would require a first element, but disagree that an infinite regress does. — NOS4A2
It may leave you as a deist...but it most assuredly does not leave me as mostly atheist. I'd sooner become a Trump supporter than an atheist...and I would not become a Trump supporter if you held a gun to my head. — Frank Apisa
"Is this universe a created universe?"
Because there are an almost infinite number of different types of sort Y. So the answer space is clearly not evenly distributed between Yes and No. — fdrake
You're trying to have it both ways. First you said:But you have statistical evidence (common experience) that there are no elephants in your backyard. So the question does not have a boolean sample space; it is loaded with evidence towards 'no'.
. — Devans99
By showing that the 2 possibilities are not symmetrical, you are introducing evidence for/against the proposition. — Devans99
But with the elephant, YOU are introducing evidence. Which is it - do we consider "evidence" when determining whether or not there's a "boolean sample space", or not? — Relativist
Yes. I understood that was what you were claiming. What I did not see was an argument linking it to your simultaneous reference of falsifiability, paradigm shifts and the fragmentary and limited nature of knowledge. Can you please explain to me how falsifiability, paradigm shifts and the fragmentary nature of knowledge establish (or should convince me) that a belief is reasonably held when it is not contradicted by anything known? — fdrake
Sure. Paradigm shifts illustrate that even our most "certain" beliefs are subject to revision. So you may be "certain" that the universe wasn't created because of...well, science, I presume. — Pantagruel
So we need to keep an open mind as to our believes. — Devans99
Z = {...-3, -2, -1, 0, 1, 2, 3,...} or Z = {...-4, -3, -2, -1, 0, 1, 2, 3, 4,..} or Z = {...-2, -1, 0, 1, 2,..} — TheMadFool
All infinite causal regresses are impossible — Devans99
Sure. Paradigm shifts illustrate that even our most "certain" beliefs are subject to revision. So you may be "certain" that the universe wasn't created because of...well, science, I presume. As I said I don't see any overt contradictions there. You still haven't broached that one. — Pantagruel
What I did note was Popper's (correct) position that you can't account for novel hypotheses by evidence, because you would be in an infinite regress. — Pantagruel
It was a general statement of the fact that not every belief in life is scientific, and it is possible to have a reasonable belief which is nevertheless false. — Pantagruel
Look at children. They develop "superstitious" beliefs about things, but in light of their limited knowledge those beliefs can be seen as "reasonable." You consistently return to the specific case about the created universe, but it's about the general case of believing and I think I have already restated that cogently in several ways now.
A. Assume an infinite causal regress exists
B. Then it has no first element
C. If it has no nth element, it has no nth+1 element
D. So it cannot exist
I see little to no relation between the privileged statements at the core of scientific research programs and creator hypotheses. This would require that they have content amenable to scientific study alone — fdrake
The claim simply doesn't fit with what is known and what can be reasonably inferred. — fdrake
But with the elephant, YOU are introducing evidence. Which is it - do we consider "evidence" when determining whether or not there's a "boolean sample space", or not? — Relativist
Sure- when we have prior knowledge of the probabilites, as in a coin toss. When else is it reasonable?I think you have to be careful with the question selection, but certain questions can be said to be normally distributed (between yes and no): — Devans99
The point is that there's no reason that there must be a first element in an ordered set of causes. The first-mover argument assumes what it's trying to prove. How do you know there's not an infinite regress of causes? "It's turtles all the way down." — fishfry
It never came into existence, it exists permanently, timeless and uncaused. So it must not need a fine tuned environment.
It looks highly probably that this universe did have a fine tuner though; there are about 20 constants that need to be at or near there current values for life to be possible. — Devans99
It's impossible for it to be, as you say, turtles all the way down because we're at a particular position in the sequence, right? There must be an ordinal number, as in nth number, that marks our position in the sequence. What is that number? There is none as I illustrated with the various ways the set of integers Z can be written. — TheMadFool
Another way to look at it would be that every number in the sequence of integers corresponds to the ordinal number infinity itself; — TheMadFool
after all we can only reach it after "beginning" at negative infinity by completing an infinite number of steps. It's my humble opinion that the infinite regress technique basically relies on the inability to complete an supertask as this is; to "begin" at negative infinity and reach any finite position in the sequence is impossible. — TheMadFool
I agree it's intuitively appealing that there must be a first cause; but that's not a proof. — fishfry
There was no beginning. There was no first cause. — fishfry
The universe is fine tuned for life so there must be a fine tuner. — Devans99
Penrose posits an endless cycle of big bangs and big crunches. Who's to say he's wrong? — fishfry
I just showed you a model of infinite causal regress. It's the plain old integers. What law of nature says it can't exist? On the contrary, it probably does exist. What caused the big bang? Random quantum fluctuations in the vacuum state of the pre-universe. What caused that? What caused the laws of physics? What caused that cause? You never get to the bottom. — fishfry
It seems to me that "There can't be an infinite regress therefore God" is a terrible argument. How do you know there can't be an infinite regress? The integers are a model of infinite regress. — fishfry
A being "outside the universe" would not exist, as the universe is all that is, a transcendent being would similarly be outside the universe, a transcendent and immanent being is inconsistent (but wait, it just has transcendent and immanent descriptions without having parts blah blah...). — fdrake
1) Does the supernatural exist? (P=.5)
2) Can an unembodied mind exist? (P=,.5*.5)
3) Can material come into existence without prior material? (P=.5*.5*.5)
4) is it possible for a mind to plan something as complex as a universe? (P=.5*.5*.5*.5)
5) Was there an intent to create life? (P=.5*.5*.5*.5*.5) — Relativist
What is your definition of fine tuning? Is the definition necessarily associated with life; for example we can only say a universe X is fine-tuned if there's life in it? If yes then the universe that the uncaused first fine-tuner exists/existed in must be fine-tuned. If no then why do you say that our universe is fine-tuned? After all your claim that our universe is fine-tuned seems to turn on there being life in it. — TheMadFool
The integers mark the years according to the Western calendar. We're currently at 2020. Ok, we're here. No question about it. And there was a year before that and a year before that, going back forever. — fishfry
So I think, philosophically, the lesson is to stay with that sense of not knowing rather than trying to rush to judgement. — Wayfarer
Glad to hear it (on both counts). — Devans99
It is a favourite hobby of mine to try to prove the existence of God. Because it is difficult/impossible, it makes a great pastime. — Devans99
Do you mean with what you know? Or with what someone else told you that they know? If you think it possible to precisely and exhaustively describe the scope of human knowledge I'd say that's the most implausible thing I've heard yet. I know that claim is weak. The claim that the universe was created? I know neither the strength nor weakness of that claim can be established. It's a metaphysical claim. Are you saying that all metaphysical claims are unreasonable? Do Forms exist? Who knows? They are widely debated though. They're hypotheses. — Pantagruel
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