Let us suppose that Smith has strong evidence for the following proposition:
(f) Jones owns a Ford. Smith's evidence might be that Jones has at all times in the past within Smith's
memory owned a car, and always a Ford, and that Jones has just offered Smith a
ride while driving a Ford.
Let us imagine, now, that Smith has another friend, Brown, of whose whereabouts he is totally ignorant. Smith selects three place names quite at random and constructs the following three propositions:
(g) Either Jones owns a Ford, or Brown is in Boston.
(h) Either Jones owns a Ford, or Brown is in Barcelona.
(i) Either Jones owns a Ford, or Brown is in Brest-Litovsk.
Each of these propositions is entailed by (f). Imagine that Smith realizes the entailment of each of these propositions he has constructed by (0, and proceeds to accept (g), (h), and (i) on the basis of (f). Smith has correctly inferred (g), (h), and (i) from a proposition for which he has strong evidence. Smith is therefore completely justified in believing each of these three propositions. Smith, of course, has no idea where Brown is.
But imagine now that two further conditions hold. First, Jones does not own a Ford, but is at present driving a rented car. And secondly, by the sheerest coincidence, and entirely unknown to Smith, the place mentioned in proposition (h) happens really to be the place where Brown is. If these two conditions hold, then Smith does not KNOW that (h) is true, even though (i) (h) is true, (ii) Smith does believe that (h) is true, and (iii) Smith is justified in believing that (h) is true.
Believing that (g), (h), and (i) are entailed by (f) is not equivalent to believing the disjunctions. — creativesoul
Accepting (f) only requires accepting that (f) follows the rules of correct inference, and as such it doesn't require and/or entail belief that (f) is true. — creativesoul
One cannot know they are ignorant about Brown's location and simultaneously form and/or hold a belief about where Brown is located. — creativesoul
...people have inconsistent beliefs. But they shouldn't.
You wrote:
Smith believes f, Smith recognises that g, h, and i follow from f, and so Smith believes g, h, and i.
I'm not sure what those percentages have to do with the Gettier case. — Michael
1. London is the capital city of England
2. Either London is the capital city of England or I am in London
3. Either London is the capital city of England or I am in Exeter
4. Either London is the capital city of England or I am in Ipswich
Do you accept that 2, 3, and 4 follow from 1? Do you believe that 1 is true? Do you believe that 2, 3, and 4 are all true?
Because they do follow, and they are all true. Being the rational person that I am, I believe that they are all true.
Your mistake is in thinking that I have to believe that I am in London or Exeter or Ipswich to believe that 2, 3, and 4 are true. I don't. I only need to believe that London is the capital city of England. Which is exactly why I believe the following to be true (and why they are both true):
5. Either London is the capital city of England or pigs can fly
6. Either London is the capital city of England or pigs can't fly
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