3. There are no more tools available (nor the prospect of until now "unthought of" tools) that can encourage traders to believe the free market will be stabilized by collectivists schemes of one form or another. — boethius
So why would the traders want to stabilize the market? — Metaphysician Undercover
If they think the market is going down they will tend to sell. If they think it's going up they will tend to buy. If they think it will stay the same they will tend to hold. — boethius
"encourage traders to believe the market will stabilize" — boethius
If traders believe "geniuses in the FED obviously know what their doing, as otherwise they wouldn't wear suits and hold press conferences" they interpret any actions by the FED as "obviously going to work in stabilizing the market", regardless of the primary consequence of the FED's actions (indeed, the primary consequence of the interference could actually have a negative effect, because they don't know what their doing, but the secondary psychological effect could completely dwarf that; just like the placebo effect can completely dwarf negative side-effects and the treatment seems to "work great" reinforcing the placebo effect). — boethius
So, if the FED has a carefully cultivated cult following that believe the public providing a private entity with the monopoly on what legislatively created entity people can pay taxes in, then basically anything it does or says to move the market will move the market because people believe it will work and thus anticipate it working, moving the market to were the FED wants it to be. And it works! Prediction came true! Reinforcing this psychological influence over traders. — boethius
However, if traders lose confidence in the FED, then the psychological leverage can not only be zero, but can actually be negative. — boethius
Due to the 2009 crisis (and wanting to bail out their friends, and even make them richer, rather than pursue any sound fiscal policy even according to their own ideology, which is just a public position to keep useful-fools inline and not their private position of doing whatever idea, socialist or capitalist, will get them more power in any given situation), the FED and central banks have spent all their ammunition blasting holes in their own floor in which to shovel in trillions of dollars and lighting it on fire. — boethius
At some point even economists will be going around saying "tut, tut, tut, no free lunch, tut, tut, tut, no free lunch" and wagging their fingers in the faces of every econ 101 students who is trying so desperately to believe regulators are playing some sort of arcane zero dimensional chess and have a point to their actions. (wagging those fingers through video-link of course). — boethius
Traders make their money from transactions. If they think the market Is staying the same (stable) they will hold, as you say, therefore they make no money. So the trader's livelihood is dependent on an unstable market, and they will do what they can (strategic buying and selling) to ensure that the market is unstable. — Metaphysician Undercover
The traders don't give a fuck about the FED. The FED protects their livelihood, but when it's time to make their money they don't give a damn. It's not a symbiotic relation. — Metaphysician Undercover
Your analysis is faulty boethius, — Metaphysician Undercover
Mars anyone? — unenlightened
Wall Street slumps at open as stimulus high fades — Reuters front page
Why Mars? Nah, — StreetlightX
destroy capitalism, and we're all good. — StreetlightX
Mostly, we are saying the same thing, but you are considering all traders as some sort of "cohesive group" that have some sort of agreed on strategy. This is not true. — boethius
Senate Intelligence Committee Chairman Richard Burr, R-N.C., sold as much as $1.7 million in stocks just before the market dropped in February amid fears about the coronavirus epidemic.
Senate records show that Burr and his wife sold between roughly $600,000 and $1.7 million in more than 30 separate transactions in late January and mid-February, just before the market began to fall and as government health officials began to issue stark warnings about the effects of the virus. Several of the stocks were in companies that own hotels.
Sens. Dianne Feinstein and Jim Inhofe sold as much as $6.4 million worth of stock in the weeks before panic about the coronavirus sparked a worldwide selloff, according to disclosure filings first reported by the New York Times.
Now the ugly side of just how corrupt and sleazy politicians are: — ssu
What would be glaring is if they don't even get a slap on the wrist. — ssu
Perhaps politicians know what they will do and can understand the consequences. And that isn't public information. That's the point.How is that corrupt? Corruption is when one acts on inside information, private to the company. Coronavirus was public information, and if some savvy individuals could foresee problems coming for specific types of companies, and sold, you cannot call that corruption. The market was extremely high anyway, and it was obviously time to sell, if you are inclined toward making money off the market. — Metaphysician Undercover
This actually isn't about Trump. Note the party of Dianne Feinstein.And despite the fact that Trump insisted it was not a problem, — Metaphysician Undercover
And it goes on, but I think anyone interested gets the picture...Public Law 112–105 112th Congress
An Act
To prohibit Members of Congress and employees of Congress from using nonpublic
information derived from their official positions for personal benefit, and for
other purposes.
Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representatives of
the United States of America in Congress assembled,
SECTION 1. SHORT TITLE.
This Act may be cited as the ‘‘Stop Trading on Congressional
Knowledge Act of 2012’’ or the ‘‘STOCK Act’’.
* * *
SEC. 3. PROHIBITION OF THE USE OF NONPUBLIC INFORMATION FOR
PRIVATE PROFIT.
The Select Committee on Ethics of the Senate and the Committee on Ethics of the House of Representatives shall issue interpretive guidance of the relevant rules of each chamber,
including rules on conflicts of interest and gifts, clarifying that a Member of Congress and an employee of Congress may not use nonpublic information derived from such person’s position as
a Member of Congress or employee of Congress or gained from the performance of such person’s official responsibilities as a means for making a private profit.
SEC. 4. PROHIBITION OF INSIDER TRADING.
(a) AFFIRMATION OF NONEXEMPTION.—Members of Congress and employees of Congress are not exempt from the insider trading prohibitions arising under the securities laws, including section 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and Rule 10b–5 thereunder.
Now, which politicians have that information first?US intelligence officials reportedly warned President Donald Trump and Congress about the threats posed by the novel coronavirus beginning in early January — weeks before the White House and lawmakers began implementing stringent public health measures
So now we have the chance perhaps for that monetary crisis afterwards... — ssu
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