Well...it would go back to the British Empire, actually. — ssu
The British haven't played a role of any significance for decades.
They do what the Americans want them to do, and in return they get to play pretend.
The current status quo is the product of the US Empire, even if meddling by foreign powers happened long before the US got in control.
And anyway, I'm not exited about calling various states as "artificial". — ssu
Artificial in the geopolitical sense, of course. These little states would, under non-unipolar circumstances, simply be gobbled up by the real contenders for regional hegemony (Saudi-Arabia and Iran). However, during unipolarity they are used by the unipole, the US, to deny strategic resources/territory from the would-be regional players.
I'd argue that Ukraine isn't artificial in the same sense, because both neighboring great powers agreed upon its role as neutral buffer until 2008, so its status as a neutral state gave Ukraine a geopolitical reason for existence. That of course started to change in 2008.
And these tiny nations, like Qatar and UAE, have been quite active on the international stage. — ssu
If you want to spend your time analyzing the actions of these states in the belief they're significant, be my guest. Personally, I think that's a waste of time.
We have small countries all over the world — ssu
Well, the world has been living under US-led unipolarity, and the pattern I have just described is visible in many places across the world.
Furthermore, please explain just why Iran would become such a hegemon. — ssu
It's the largest player in its neck of the woods, sits on a geographically and geopolitically vital area with lots of natural resources, controls half of the Persian Gulf, it has powerful allies (it's actually of gigantic economic importance to China), etc. - I could go on but I'm not going to write an essay explaining this.
What's perhaps interesting to note is the fact that US/Israeli policy vis-à-vis the Middle-East has left a gigantic power vacuum, especially in Iraq, which Iran is gearing up to fill.
This is what the US/Israel have been trying to avoid - a rising Iran, and their foolish policies have achieved just that.
You think the US and Israel would be willing to go to war against Iran if Iran
wasn't threatening to become a large regional player?
The proof is in the pudding.
Great Powers, or Superpowers, are only thing important, right? — ssu
Their influence on world affairs is simply orders of magnitude above the other, smaller countries. Like I said, if you want to analyze the intricate inner workings of Luxembourg to figure out its geopolitical significance, be my guest. I think that's a waste of time.
What is likely that Middle East will be still quite volatile and prone to wars even if the US withdraws from the place. — ssu
Of course, because the US/Israel have been disrupting the natural way the region should have developed, because the natural way of things trends towards conglomeration, which would in turn create regional hegemons which could have been a threat to the US/Israel.
They have created a giant reservoir of shit, by sowing chaos, creating artificial states, trying to stop states from developing, etc. and now that US power is waning, that dam is going to break.
Oh yea, it's going to be one giant mess - a mess Iran will probably be able to profit from in the long run. And a mess that might spell the end of Israel.
You understand that at this point I'm basically spelling out why US/Israeli policy is what it is, right?