• A modest proposal - How Democrats can win elections in the US


    Yes, the 60 votes rule is now a serious problem. I don't know what it will take to get the Constitution amended again. I don't quite follow what you mean by "more radical". Do you mean politicians who promise public good but then don't deliver?

    I remember who good Palin did when they tried ranked choice voting in Alaska. Great stuff. I agree with what you list, for sure, those would be welcome changes. I also assume overturning Citizens United would be good - but with this Supreme Court, it's not happening.

    As for the Culture War. Yeah. That's a problem. Or better, it is presented as a bigger problem instead of focusing on much more serious stuff: destruction of the Earth's climate, raising inequality, etc.

    That one is also difficult to navigate.
  • A modest proposal - How Democrats can win elections in the US


    :100:

    Well.

    Let's hope we make it out alive during these 4 years. Maybe we will have a good strategy by then.
  • A modest proposal - How Democrats can win elections in the US


    Yeah - this view is wild to me. Sanders is too far left damn,,,

    Sanders would fit into right wing political parties in Europe. The American people must somehow not want healthcare and social services.

    Or people in positions of relative privilege, don't want to sacrifice a bit of income, for a better country...
  • Post-truth


    Well - maybe in certain situations such a measure could be appropriate.

    In the meantime, it's not as if one is going to go to Truth Social or some site like that to reason with anyone. Yes, we react - maybe that should change.

    I don't see where to start at the moment, other than donating to causes, participating in events. The thing is to communicate with those that are not yet completely gone.
  • Post-truth
    It's very hard to fight against cults. Just looking at some of the survivors or people who quit - it takes a lot of time and they usually have to hit rock bottom to awaken and notice they've been had.

    Truth is certainly a big component, the issue for me is that the standards of evaluation from which we can make informed decisions are labeled as "political" instead of being taken as facts.

    I fear that only when people notice how f*cked they are, will they change their minds. By then too much damage will have been done.

    Worst of all, if the Democrats keep with this centrist "bi-partisan" crap, they may win in 2028 - but if they don't change quite radically, the cycle will repeat itself all the time going further to the right, which drags everything to the right as well. That's not a path that will lead to sanity.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    I have seen your political posts and discussions here and elsewhere.

    I frankly don't think there would be any point in discussing these matters with you.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    It's hard to say. We can only hope for the best and try to help out whatever way we can to combat this right-wing plague surging everywhere.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    Your son is Australian right? He will be fine if he's white, most likely. It's black and brown people that will have an issue, sad to say.

    Maybe another candidate could have won. Maybe not. Hard to say. Biden being so old and being the current president makes it difficult to campaign criticizing him harshly, which is what I suspect most Dems would have liked.

    On the one hand, there is no doubt this was the Democrats race to lose (they have more registered voters). On the other, so many people in the US are just clueless and very badly informed.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    It should be evident very soon. The people saying I regret voting for Trump" will come put so quickly. It is so predictable and maddening.

    Along with all else mentioned, yeah, we're fucked.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    You know, I suppose the only silver lining here, quite literally (for me), is that I think Trump is right on Ukraine IF he is honest about it.

    That view triggers the hell out of libs. But he's right about it, gotta say it.

    Everything else (Israel included) will be much worse.
  • Reading group of Wittgenstein's Blue Book
    I don't think "tree" applies in this case because "time" is being compared to other ideas with no bodyPaine

    Then let's speak of an idea of a tree then. Are we going to say that an idea of a tree exhausts what a tree is?

    Or let's take his example of time, does our idea of time exhaust itself by being present to our minds? That's doubtful, unless you believe an idea is all there is to the thing you are having an idea about.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    True, the 1.5 goal was already surpassed this year, but the important issue is to avoid going much further beyond that.

    Now it will be almost impossible to stop maybe even 2 degrees, and that's a disaster.

    I mean, we don't know until we get to it (with 100% certainty anyways) but growing food will become much harder, a huge percentage of marine life will vanish, living in many parts of the world will become unfeasible.

    That's pretty bad.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    Well, I mean if Trump just completely cuts most (if not all) climate regulation and accelerates oil extraction then it is most certain we will not reach 1.5 nor even 2c by 2030, essentially guaranteeing the end of civilization. Granted, this is somewhat medium-ish term, but that's big.

    As for the rest, well, I hope you are right in this case. I shudder to think things will change to the significant worse. But your prediction is bad enough if it comes to fruition.

    Interesting times indeed...
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    True, but before no states had abortion bans. It's fine for individual states to get that right, for sure. Sucks bad for those women who can't do much in those 13 states.

    If not for the federal ban, then as you say, it is quite progressive in many social aspects, most notably and most importantly, freedom of speech.

    That is one area in which the US clearly has the upper hand compared with most other countries. It's an impressive win vs. the state.

    Let's hope Trump doesn't squash those freedoms.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    I explicitly referred to developed nations. I don't think it makes much sense to compare Germany to Ecuador. You can do so if you want to, but it would be better to compare Germany to France or to Japan.

    If you want to compare the US to other countries, then it is most sensible to do so with a Western European countries or Canada. On economic and social issues, the democratic part is to the right of every developed country, so the Democratic party could not run with the platform they have and call themselves "the left".

    That's just a fact.

    If Roe got re-introduced as law, then you can argue, with some reason that the US is to the left of other countries on social issues.

    That's up to people's consideration as to what counts as left or not.

    That's my arrogant view.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    I risk a reply out of annoyance. But it's best not to waste time with people who believe this
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    It will be a nightmare.

    Lo que nos toca ahora es muy jodido....

    I've been reading about it and find myself confused. Even proponents of the EU claim there's a lack of accountability.frank

    Very confusing, Varoufakis and Modi have good books on the EU, but it is a bureaucratic mess. Not all of it is bad by any means, but still, highly perplexing.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    Wow.

    You are missing the point big time.

    Should've expected it.

    And ignore the evangelicals at your risk.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    Not economically no. Now, or as of the removal of Roe, not even socially. If they manage to get Roe back in, then we can speak about the Democrats being left on world standards.

    Of course, the US is not Europe. The US is an outlier in first world countries, failing to provide healthcare as right to everyone, among other scandals.

    So yes, the US is to the right of the developed world by these standards. Doesn't mean the people are, but the system is. If you remove comparisons between developed countries, then there is no metric to say what's left or right or anything else.

    I mean, for reference, anything to the right of Trump is called "radical left". That's insane.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    It's a complex subject. The way it is currently structured is based on a system which basically gives German banks the power to control the value of the Euro based on German elite financial needs.

    In an ironic twist, the European Central Bank is worse than the Fed. The only mandate the ECB has is to control inflation. At least the Fed attempts to keep unemployment low as one of its mandates, in addition to controlling inflation.

    So yes, it is an Oligarchy - as everywhere else, but it has a very strange dynamic to it.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    If they move any further to the left, they would just be centrist or maybe center-right. They would not be left in any European country. Not even the right in Europe would dare privatize health care.

    As for Israel, you better be thankful the US donor class "supports" it, because it has no friends left and is a pariah state, for good reason. And your friends those fanatical Evangelicals are the most anti-Semitic of them all
  • Reading group of Wittgenstein's Blue Book


    Immediately after your quoted sentence he says:

    "It is not new facts about time which we want to know. All the facts that concern us lie open before us."

    Let's replace "time" with anything, say a tree or an idea. It is not the case that "all the facts" are open to us, only those facts which we are of aware of at the given time and (crucially) those facts which we may have no access to.

    We are limited on our observations about trees relative to the capacity of our senses and the capacity of our cognitive components.

    This applies to our mental powers, or mind as well and much else. He is problematizing something like mental mediation here, which is not clear to me what the problem is.

    This is an important connection than my merely trying to record the aghast commonly felt at what is seen as removing the self (just, as an object), when he is just following through the categorical error of the ‘strong temptation’ of causality. I would only add that we would be “standing on the outside trying to look in” to ourselves as well if we imagine we can “look into” our own casual object (agent, “self”). Not to move further from the text but to place this in company, the PI will treat the other as opaque and talk of boxes with things hidden, etc.Antony Nickles

    I see him saying that we are not concerned with the "causal connections" here, not that they are a category error. We can discuss this if we want, rather, we are choosing not to do so now.

    I would agree that we can't - despite (some of) us wanting - peer more into the nature of the self than something like what Hume describes. In this part, I do agree with the example and the general outlook.
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)


    It's a good idea.

    But it would go against monied interests, so it can't happen. At least not through Cable News.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    The destruction of the Earth's climate? Tax cuts for the super wealthy? Increased hostility towards China, including trade wars?

    There is ignorance everywhere. But some of it is quite worse for people at large.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    It's a non-trivial matter to distribute culpability here. Clearly, lots of people are gullible and vote against their interests. Yet there is also manifest stupidity and ignorance.

    How to make sense of this? For now, answers are pending.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    Those are plentiful! Liberals cry about everything. :)
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    I guess. He kind of did some of this during his last term too.

    Well, four more years for them to see everything burn.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    That's likely an important element. What % that covers is not entirely clear, but yes, it is a factor.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    There are some hints as to why Harris likely lost.

    But I don't understand why people think Trump does anything for them.

    I don't know what to say, frankly.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    That is the prudent thing to do.

    But it does not look good in most of those states.

    You are technically correct.

    Also, I am a total and complete clown. Never take my US political predictions seriously. smh
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    Welppp. Heh, seems Tobias instincts are very, very good.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    You are right, he may well be the winner. For sure.

    But beyond a shadow of a doubt, in political philosophy?

    That's more than we can know.

    Instincts are another matter.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    Yes. Very poor sentence, I meant to say, I don't think there are many similarities between Clinton and Harris' situation. The only surprise was turnout for Trump in states assumed to be blue, that went for him.

    This time, there is no such complacency in the "blue wall" states. Furthermore, I think that pollsters may for once be over-estimating Trump.

    Finally - Selzer's poll aside - it's been a brutal week for Trump.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    That is correct. And he could win. It's merely anecdotal and vibes based, which is as good as useless.

    But - we are here to talk. EDIT: I think the similarities between Clinton's situation and Harris situation are an exaggeration.

    Again, we will see in a few hours.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    I don't think Trump will win. And I don't think his stolen claims get as much traction, though tensions will arise, no doubt.

    Let's see how my comment ages. My feeling is that he will get trounced in the EC.

    Clown on me if I am wrong, as I should deserve it.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    Hah!

    Well. I am cautiously optimistic. But you can never tell. Hopefully we will be able to see what the heck most pollsters got wrong in assumptions, IF they were wrong, which seems likely given so many .2, .4 and 1% margins.

    We will see on Tuesday. But, you made it alive out of that chicken game :)
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    Oh sure - there are good indications she can win, maybe by a margin which shatters most of the deadlocked polls.

    But - it needs to get done and we can't take anything for granted. He *could* win. So, hedge your bets just in case.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    It's going to be fascinating to see what all these super tight polls got wrong after the winner is known.

    So many margin calls on either side. Selzer's poll was bold if anything, let's see how she stacks up this time. Quite nerve racking honestly...
  • Reading group of Wittgenstein's Blue Book
    Yes, but without the flower, judgements about it are meaningless.Ludwig V

    I don't think that's true as a matter of principle.

    If we knew enough about the brain, we - the scientists - could stimulate a flower without us - the experimentee - ever having seen one. In this case, the "external object" merely verifies our criteria, the flower itself is not the ground of our judgment (or our asking about it), rather the "red flower" is something which fits our criteria.

    I could give you a plastic red flower, indistinguishable from a real red flower, and it would still fit your criteria.

    But Wittgenstein's point is that one can bring you a red flower without a visual image.Ludwig V

    I agree, I think it's possible in some cases.

    Well, I think you'll find that not everyone interprets that phrase in the same way - especially in philosophy.Ludwig V

    Which is why I said I was a bit surprised to be included in this discussion. I'm well aware I'm quite likely in the minority view.

    Nevertheless, Wittgenstein's argument here is ok. I think it's on the right track compared to his earlier views.