Isn't there already an elephant in this particular room? — Noble Dust
Not at all, it predicts cognitive bias in those unaware of the issue and less so in those aware of it. Easily falsifiable by showing a general lack of cognitive bias in those unaware of the issue and a greater effect in those aware of it. — Isaac
Wikipedia is a perfectly respectable source of information, I have contributed to it, and I donate monthly. Speaking of ‘ignorance’, did you manage to validate your spurious claim about Aristotle? — Wayfarer
Uh huh. And which part of the published theory on cherry-picking predicted that would not happen? — Isaac
So, once more, if you rack up $1m of debt to make $500 grand, you're a shite business person. And if you think the $500 grand is profit, you're an idiot. It's not profit. You're down 500grand. You made 500 grand - but you made it at $1m cost. — Bartricks
The theories of Freud have totally transformed public attitudes and behaviour regarding sex, from regarding a glimpse of stocking as something shocking, to anything goes. — unenlightened
What about it? — Isaac
You've misunderstood my request (which is odd because it was quite simple) I was asking for evidence that this has actually happened, not a mechanism whereby it could. — Isaac
Are you suggesting that people no longer suffer from cognitive biases? — Isaac
So presumably has happened with a great many theories already? Providing an example shouldn't be too much trouble then. — Isaac
Yet, once we're in the know — Agent Smith
Chaps do manage to forecast the weather to an approximation, and that's a complex system. I think economics suffers from the same problem as psychology, (and politics, as you mentioned) that the theories change behaviour and so confound themselves. For example, the effect of this thread, if widely read and believed, might be to send stocks into a long term decline as long term investors diversify. Until folks get as far as this post and realise that the long term decline has been caused by a self-fulfilling prophesy rather than real events ... and so on.
I suspect every theory in the humanities is inclined to become either self-fulfilling or self-refuting as soon as it becomes public, but I wouldn't care to say which kind this one is. — unenlightened
Most interesting. — Ms. Marple
Don't sweat it. It's just religion. It's not meant to be taken literally or rationally. The concept of the trinity is meant to be a sort of brain teaser - the contemplation of the trinity is merely a practice that helps one to reduce dependence on reason. It is only for people interested in cultivating their religious faith. — Merkwurdichliebe
Are we talking about god-based morality or nature-based morality or not nature-based morality? — 180 Proof
I know that I know nothing — Socrates
Okay, then I misread you. Yes, nature-based moral systems (e.g. disutilitarianism / epicureanism, (modern) virtue ethics, (modern) stoicism, deep ecology, etc) can be derived by sound reasoning. — 180 Proof
Deduced from "God"? Not soundly. — 180 Proof
Spinoza's "bondage". — 180 Proof
"God" is a fiction, so such reasoning / deduction is necessarily unsound. — 180 Proof
Fool's gold. — jgill
You seem fascinated by this anomaly. It's a kind of summation result for series that don't converge in the mathematically acceptable manner. Here's a link that should keep you occupied until bedtime:
1 + 2 + 3 + ... — jgill
I was alluding to emotions (limbic system) and reason (prefrontal cortex), respectively — 180 Proof
