Comments

  • Ukraine Crisis
    Reflexive control came up again in ISW's analyses. Dis/mal/misinformation, manipulation, get others to speak the Kremlin's case, in addition to the shooting and bombing, are parts of their multipronged campaigns. By the way, the article seems to run contrary to some posters.

    Denying Russia’s Only Strategy for Success
    — Nataliya Bugayova, Frederick W Kagan, Kateryna Stepanenko · ISW · Mar 27, 2024
    Russia cannot defeat Ukraine or the West - and will likely lose - if the West mobilizes its resources to resist the Kremlin. The West’s existing and latent capability dwarfs that of Russia.
    The notion that the war is unwinnable because of Russia’s dominance is a Russian information operation, which gives us a glimpse of the Kremlin’s real strategy and only real hope of success.
    The Russian strategy that matters most, therefore, is not Moscow’s warfighting strategy, but rather the Kremlin’s strategy to cause us to see the world as it wishes us to see it and make decisions in that Kremlin-generated alternative reality that will allow Russia to win in the real world.

    Using the term "the West" like so suggests a homogeneity that's not quite there as of typing, though — incidentally, perhaps due to reflexive control and all that in part. They conclude the article with some strategies against the Kremlin.

    EDIT typo, minor updates
  • Israel killing civilians in Gaza and the West Bank
    , don't forget the Sunni (85-90% worldwide) versus Shia (Iran, Iraq, Azerbaijan, Bahrain) conflict. Internal to Islam, they're not seeing eye-to-eye, to the point of violence now and then.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Vladislav Inozemtsev lives life on the edge. Kremlin critique can be unhealthy. :) He's not far off the mark.
  • Israel killing civilians in Gaza and the West Bank


    There is no food, no drinks. We are eating plants. We started eating pigeon food, donkey foodvictim
    25 children have died of starvationDavid Miliband

    ... due to existing food trucks being turned back, either at crossing points or inside Gaza. Some trucks with medical supplies turned back because a pair of surgical scissors deemed a security threat. As mentioned by Miliband, it's kind of an immediate crisis, not about rhetoric or whatever.

    Apparently, decisions to block the trucks are being made by whatever (overzealous) troops on the spot. Do you think more pressure on Netanyahu can get them to issue orders to let humanitarian aid through?
  • Ukraine Crisis
    , maybe they're seeking to justify whatever military endeavors and changes to the economy.
    Could also help take domestic minds off Putin having seized power seemingly indefinitely.
    (↑ straightforward and plausible anyway, conspiracy theorists might even say something like this was their plan all along)


    A Russian friend of a friend living in France, about two years back...
    Every morning I wake up before Anton and reach for my phone to watch the news. When Anton opens one eye, the first thing I report is: Kyiv is standing, Zelensky is alive.Anna Frid · Mar 15, 2022
    ... Kyiv/Zelenskyy being representative against the Gremlin I think.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    I guess this has become a part of everyday life in Kyiv:

    This Kyiv florist captured a missile attack on CCTV (— Anastasiia Shulha · Reuters via CBC · Mar 21, 2024 · 42s)

    ... Busy traffic on the street in the background.

    Reminds me a bit of some radio stations during the 2nd world war:

    Reporters Without Borders launch satellite to reach Russian-speaking territories (— Euronews · Mar 22, 2024) | via RSF/RWB

    Coverage: Russia, the Baltics, occupied territories of Ukraine. Will satellite dishes be banned by the Kremlin?

    There have been several reports on this stuff by now:

    Deportation and re-education: life in Russian-occupied areas of Ukraine (— Shaun Walker, Pjotr Sauer · The Guardian · Mar 6, 2024)
    UK Defence Intelligence: Russia may be preparing to deport residents of occupied territories of Ukraine (— European/Ukrainska Pravda · Mar 11, 2024)
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Haven't heard anyone in the West purposing that Poland, even Romania, would take large parts of Ukrainessu

    Yeah, I don't get it... It's...random... Like plucked out of the thin air...
  • Ukraine Crisis
    So, how to not "provoke" the Kremlin (and North Korea)? I guess it depends on their plans...?

    No military (or related change/activity) in the vicinity, whether reactionary or not? I.e. lower defenses because they're offenses...?

    Nothing toward democracy freedom humanitarianism all that, no pressure, no sanctions, no frozen assets — that's all propaganda, meddling, illegal, interference, provocation. Free reins (or "blindness") would presumably not provoke. (Though I'm not quite sure what Kim Jong Un would do with that.)

    As to the Kremlin and Ukraine: no Ukrainian defense to speak of. Alternatively, capitulation.

    As to North Korea, while not shy about nuclear tests and shooting missiles, it seems just about anything (sometimes nothing in particular) elicits an angry response.


    What's the Kremlin circle been up to? Some strategic steps to undermine democracy and extend geographically, well-known to history:

    • attain (political) power by intimidation (Pompey used military)
    • manipulate popular support, achieve cult status (check Caesar)
    • marginalize government bodies (Augustus sidelined the Senate)
    • gain control of judiciary, fix courts (per Banno)
    • seize and constrain communication (media), employ in service

    ▸ geopolitically divide et impera
    ▸ instigate conflicts and alter economy accordingly

    How much of such like has the Kremlin circle accomplished? (Putin, Patrushev, Bortnikov, others.) A decades-long coup?
  • Coronavirus
    62-year-old manages to get a couple hundred shots over two and a half years...?
    More than one a week on average?
    Criminal charges weren't filed against him, though likely fraudulent.
    Anyway, doctors studied him:

    Scientists Studied Man Who Claimed To Have Had 217 COVID Shots. Here’s What They Found.
    — Nina Golgowski · HuffPost · Mar 7, 2024
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Medvedev is a top official, but comes through like a rambling comedian these days. He wasn't always, so what happened anyway? (Here's a detailed story from Jun 27, 2023.) Back on Jul 27, 2022, he posted the Kremlin's plan for Ukraine according to him: ERRATA below

    Before "the special military operation":

    9sgde3mvkr6yt1gx.jpg

    And after:

    ogo1j0h3b7mco8d4.jpg

    Ukraine left as a small region around Kyiv, Russia having absorbed most, the rest divided between Poland and Romania, with a small snack for Hungary. At least Moldova is untouched (until further notice). On Dec 19, 2023, Putin suggested something similar. Well, anti-Ukraine rhetoric is easy enough to find, especially (but not always) from the Kremlin circle. I suppose, if those other countries can be turned against Ukraine, then who knows? A week prior:

    Now the geography is different, it's far from being just the DPR and LPR, it's also Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions and a number of other territories. This process is continuing logically and persistently.Lavrov (Jul 20, 2022)

    On Mar 4, 2024, he presented the same maps again at the Russian 2024 World Festival of Youth in front of a large audience, held just south of Sochi. (By the way, a somewhat similar map was posted on Mar 24, 2022 by the late Illia Kyva.)

    Ukraine certainly is RussiaMedvedev (Mar 4, 2024)

    Whatever one makes of it, some analysts have commented. The irredentist rhetoric has been seen on many occasions by now. There is sort of a consistency here, whether calculated for intimidation, plain propaganda, or more.

    ERRATA (thanks ):
    In the brain of the President of Ukraine, damaged by psychotropic substances, the following picture of the bright future of his country arose (Fig. 1).
    Western analysts believe that this will actually be the case (Fig. 2).
    — Medvedev
  • Israel killing civilians in Gaza and the West Bank
    @BitconnectCarlos, @RogueAI, ..., I think it goes both ways.
    Radicals (anyone really) grabbing land at gunpoint should be jailed.
    Caveat emptor, selling land should be approved accordingly.
    Until then it's an untrustworthy pseudo-legal system. Al Capone style.
  • Israel killing civilians in Gaza and the West Bank
    , news coverage around here (or at least what I've seen) gradually changed from the initial attack, to the hostage situation and invasion, to the humanitarian crisis, plus various demonstrations/protests and violence (either side). Still covered regularly. There hasn't been much on the broader conflict though, I guess that's not so much news as it is history. Both the Hamas top and Netanyahu seem to agree on violence and not peace, so it's not looking good.
  • Israel killing civilians in Gaza and the West Bank
    , this is straightforward bias (and flirting with ad hominem):

    — "Israelis commit these-and-those humanitarian offenses"

    — "calling Palestinians misogynists and homophobes is just you saying we're better than them"

    Both exemplify humanitarian violations.
    The latter issues are much the same for, say, Brunei, whatever middle African places, ...
  • Israel killing civilians in Gaza and the West Bank
    How's this for a really brief summary then?

    After WW2, others gave Jewish survivors places not theirs to give. Conflict. Israel established. Jews turn some desert into not-desert. Periodic escalation. Some Jews grab land at gunpoint. Israelis and Palestinians treated differently, discrimination by both. Both lay religio-historical claims to areas. Regular violence. Israel has military upper hand, larger region has non-Jewish population upper hand. Jews fear being removed for good. No peace in sight and no common law and order.

    Will is required in both camps to improve the situation regardless of partisanship, yes?
  • Israel killing civilians in Gaza and the West Bank
    (please note, Weiss is a Jewish Israeli, which is reflected in the article)

    Are Americans getting even dumber? - opinion
    — Stewart Weiss · The Jerusalem Post · Feb 9, 2024

    I resent his comic book comments. :nerd:

    The article reads like Weiss believes that the Hebrew Bible is all literal history, which I (personally) find ingenuous and kind of ridiculous. But, I guess it does give a religio-historical justification for his opinions. Anyone is free to believe so of course, yet once such beliefs affect others, then it becomes others' concern. And this applies to both parties in the present conflict.

    (It's entirely possible I read too much into it.)

    Answering the title question, though, can be done without reading the article.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    2024 voting in occupied Ukraine:

    Russians bring in security forces for sham presidential elections in Ukraine's occupied territories
    — Tetyana Oliynyk · Ukrainska Pravda · Feb 28, 2024
    Russia increases police and military presence in occupied Ukrainian territories ahead of sham presidential ‘elections’ - NRC
    — Alla Shcherbak · The New Voice of Ukraine · Mar 3, 2024
    What to know about Russia’s presidential election, set to give Putin another six-year term
    — Katie Marie Davis, Dasha Litvinova · AP · Mar 10, 2024
    On Russian TV ahead of the election, there’s only one program: Putin’s
    — Emma Burrows · AP · Mar 11, 2024
    Moscow 'to falsify' votes in occupied Ukrainian regions
    — Oleksandra Vakulina · Euronews · Mar 11, 2024
    Ukraine-based Russian armed groups claim raids into Russia
    — Jaroslav Lukiv · BBC · Mar 12, 2024
    Occupied Ukraine encouraged to vote in Russian election by armed men
    — Vitaly Shevchenko · BBC · Mar 13, 2024
    Viewpoint: Russian authorities seek strong election showing for Putin
    — Jonathan House · GZERO · Mar 13, 2024
    Russia's 2024 presidential election: What is at stake and what is not
    — Caprile Anna · European Parliament · Mar 13, 2024
    UK intelligence explains how residents of temporarily occupied territories are forced to vote for Putin
    — European/Ukrainska Pravda · Mar 13, 2024


    Your mileage may vary. The articles are by and large consistent, though. And the Kremlin denies transparency / independent monitoring. I'd like to have seen Duntsova with a strong open free campaign, coverage, country-wide.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    [...] Putin and Russian ideologists (like Dugin) have been actively engaged in exporting and supporting such far right movements abroad (https://www.justsecurity.org/68420/confronting-russias-role-in-transnational-white-supremacist-extremism/).
    Not surprisingly Russian neo-nazi militia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neo-Nazism_in_Russia#Groups) are the ones involved in Euromaiden and the conflict in Donbas (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_separatist_forces_in_Ukraine).
    neomac

    And the invading Russians have installed people they allegedly sought to do away with. For that matter, Kadyrov's Chechnya resembles Nazi rule noticeably more.

    But their Nazi thing is a great (rabble-rousing) rhetorical/propaganda device (like sort of extending The Great Patriotic War), and that's what it is here, bullshit or lying, ready to get picked up by others. How do you talk with someone who doesn't care about truth? Maybe that's why Kyiv cut lines to Moscow.

    From memory, this campaign of theirs started also accusing other countries of Nazism, sometimes covertly (e.g. university campuses), but they didn't continue like for Ukraine.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    The drip feedboethius

    ... idea suggests a single point of decision, like monolithic or "one voice". Yet, that's the kind of thing that happens in autocracies. Ukraine's supporters are broad and wide, they discuss debate quarrel, back-and-forth, dis/agree alike, both domestically and internationally, subject to whatever bureaucracy, you name it, "many voices" (to accommodate). Should be evident enough. Too bad perhaps, but Ukraine's supporters are readily susceptible to divide et impera.

    neo-nazis [...] I can post the videos of Western reportage on the nazis and corruption again [...] Nazis [...] nazi [...] Nazi — boethius
    I point out my primarily responsibility: Western policy.boethius

    Hmm Your responsibility? (For the occasion?) :halo: Anyway, when will we then see something about your domestic extremists? (Does Hells Angels count? Actually, they're international.) By the way, what the Ukrainians wanted is consistent with "Western policy", the Kremlin not so much.

    Maybe it was Putin's intentionboethius

    Geo-power-military-political aspirations include long-term control over Ukraine ... irredentism, "demilitarization", anti-NATO/defense, land grabbing (no independence), Mearsheimer (Crimea), vision ("destiny"), industrial strength nationalist propaganda, a variation of imperialism/neo-colonialism (according to some), ... Loss of control (threat, danger) → act :fire:. Potential loss of control (risk) → act :fire:. Threats dangers risks include Ukrainian (and Russian) free democracy, strong Ukrainian defense (like NATO), Ukraine steadily looking away from Russia towards the EU (or "West").

    (↑ not new in the thread)
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    :D What a circus

    'More than a majority' of RNC members want to help pay Trump's legal bills: insiders
    — Travis Gettys · Raw Story · Mar 6, 2024
    Bloodbath at RNC: Trump team slashes staff at committee
    — Alex Isenstadt · POLITICO · Mar 11, 2024

    The Clown supporters I've chit-chatted with don't think about or care that their efforts add to efforts beyond their neighborhood against them

    Oh well
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Posts like these seem tankie to me:

    10 years since the far-right coup in Kiev
    — A Ukrainian socialist · World Socialist Web Site · Feb 28, 2024
    In Kiev visit, Trudeau reaffirms Canadian imperialism’s support for US-NATO war on Russia
    — Roger Jordan · World Socialist Web Site · Feb 28, 2024

    Ironically, they could have come straight off the Kremlin's propaganda press, and Putin's Russia is not socialist. I'm more "socialist", in a democratic sort of sense anyway. TF? :D

    In modern times, the term is used across the political spectrum and in a geopolitical context to describe those who have a bias in favor of authoritarian states that have socialist legacy and often anti-Western, as the Republic of Belarus, the People's Republic of China, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, and the Russian Federation. Additionally, tankies are said to have a tendency to support non-socialist states with no socialist legacy if they are opposed to the Western world, regardless of their ideology,(4)(11) such as [...]Tankie (Wikipedia)
    A tankie is a member of a communist group or a "fellow traveller" (sympathiser) who believes fully in the political system of the Soviet Union and defends/defended the actions of the Soviet Union and other accredited states (China, Serbia, etc.) to the hilt, even in cases where other communists criticise their policies or actions. For instance, such a person favours overseas interventions by Soviet-style states, defends these regimes when they engage in human rights violations, and wishes to establish a similar system in other countries such as Britain and America. [...] I wouldn't be surprised if the tankies even defend Saddam Hussein.tankie (Urban Dictionary)

    The World Socialist Web Site has been infiltrated by Putinistas or there be tankies (in a pejorative not-so-socialist sense), something like that. Can you tell which?
  • Ukraine Crisis
    On a Russian perspective (Kremlin really), here are some options (inexhaustive), not mutually exclusive:

    • ↓ Ukraine to develop on a self-chosen path
    • ↓ maintain a Kharkiv Pact of sorts
    • ↗ force Ukraine into a vision of Russia of theirs
    • ↘ democratize

    They're running with the 3rd and rejecting the others (so far), for all to see. :death:

    Largest countries, further perspective: military, population, area

    Apparent reasons are themselves straightforward enough ... (attempt to) assert control in order to implement their idea of what Russia ought to be; (attempt to) manage threats to said vision ... Common to invasions, power ambition resources etc, evident origin.

    Here apparent threats risks dangers include ... Ukraine going its own way, e.g. democracy (can be unpredictable); NATO membership, or any strong defense; Ukraine increasingly looking to others (the EU) and decreasingly Russia (slipping away) ... Threats everywhere, poor Kremlin.

    And threat management includes ... counter-threats; diversions, e.g. point fingers at others; muddle the waters; oppress, strangle, solidify ... Here be playbooks.

    When freedom and sovereignty themselves are perceived as threats then we get results like what we're seeing (word, infra, civil, grab). Too bad for Ukraine, eh? They're not ready to get sucked down that drain.

    Will we see an end to it? As it stands, is there any progress in sight or available?

    (↑ taking available evidence into account is relevant, un/controversial main/fringe-stream less so)
  • Why populism leads to authoritarianism
    I came here to discuss how democracy is just another term for homogenization of the masses. A homogenized mass is easier controlled. Gustave Le Bon's "The Crowd," can teach you that too. Same with Edward Bernays' "Propaganda."

    Regardless, sorry there was some miscommunication that occurred. Amor Fati.
    Vaskane

    I think it depends.

    People are ... taught a main language, rarely more than a couple others ... incentivized to not just shoot others on the street (e.g. minority protection) by law ()() ... "indoctrinated" with arithmetic ... enculturated regionally ...

    Does that count as homogenization though?
  • A first cause is logically necessary
    Infinites can be counter-intuitive but are not themselves logically contradictory, e.g. Hilbert's Hotel and Shandy's Diary.

    Here's an old attempt to derive a contradiction from infinite time:


    And another:

    Assumption (towards reductio ad absurdum): infinite temporal past.

    Let's enumerate past days up to and including last Wednesday as: {..., -1, 0}. That is, there exists a bijection among those past days (including Wednesday) and the non-positive integers.

    Now come Thursday.

    We find that {..., -1, 0} cannot accommodate Thursday.

    Let's (re)enumerate the same past days but including Thursday as: {..., -1, 0}. That is, there exists a bijection among those past days (including Thursday) and the non-positive integers.

    We find that {..., -1, 0} can accommodate Thursday.

    The two findings are contradictory: {..., -1, 0} both cannot and can accommodate Thursday.

    Therefore the assumption is wrong, an infinite past is impossible.

    This proof is also invalid (left as an exercise for the reader), so I failed once again in my attempt to necessitate a finite past.

    Here's a story, not a proof, demonstrating counter-intuitive infinites:

    Wittgenstein overhears someone saying "5, 1, 4, 1, 3. Done."
    He asks what that was about, and they respond that they just finished reciting π backward.
    "But, how old are you?"
    "Infinitely old. I never started, but have been at it forever and finally finished."

    Say, why finish right at that time, and not some other time, any other time in fact? No sufficient reason (which is metaphysics, not logic). Our intuitions violated.

    I keep coming up short, suggesting that an infinite past (duration) is not logically contradictory/impossible. Maybe "seemingly absurd" is more fitting?
  • Ukraine Crisis
    In some places you're not allowed to laugh...

    We will no longer tolerate criticism of our democracy and allegations that it is not what it should be. Our democracy is the best, and we will continue to build it.Pesky · RIA Novosti · Mar 6, 2024

    Ironically, this was during a "Knowledge.First" marathon of the Russian "Knowledge" Society. :)
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Russian missile may have targeted Zelenskiy, Greek PM, says Ukraine aide
    — Yuliia Dysa, Bernadette Baum, Gareth Jones · Reuters · Mar 7, 2024 (— WION 3m:7s)

    Further troubles if the Greek Prime Minister had been killed? I'm guessing much noise, but nothing drastic. There are a few examples of Russian attacks, not particularly military (infra, civil). Coming up with denials excuses rejections isn't hard, whatever the truth of the matter.

    Observation: A few comment as if Russia is invisible, "the unmentioned attacker", the Kremlin a machine in a Siberian basement somewhere, blind to the Kremlin circle, only to repeatedly go "NATO bad" "Ukraine sh¡thole" "US evil" ... I guess it's up to others to pick up the slack?

    Was just going over some analyses of seemingly influential dis/mal/misinformation campaigns, maybe I'll post something later. Will likely remain applicable for the foreseeable future.

    Part of what I'm also seeing (personally) is a Ukraine trying to develop past the sticky (post)Soviet shadow, trying to free themselves from the dominating regressive authoritarian north+east neighbor, trying to make new friends if you will. But then they're sh¡t all over by some instead — "Nazis" "Banderas" "Genociders" "Beggars" "Burdens" "CIA-puppets" "Fools" "Betrayers" "Underlings" what-have-you — prior having allowed them to try. Well, some people are decency-challenged. Bombed all over too, by a Kremlin seemingly lost to keep them from developing/trying, while working hard at reasserting control over them. Trying is a pertinent part of what's going on, which admittedly takes time.

    What they wanted: (Different in Russia...? :chin:)
    Protesters opposed what they saw as widespread government corruption and abuse of power, the influence of Russia and oligarchs, police brutality, human rights violations,(29)(30) and repressive anti-protest laws.(29)Revolution of Dignity (Wikipedia)

    At least with support they've proven more than a mouthful for the world's largest country. Good for them I guess. And in mentioned north+east (check "I want the Soviet Union back" :fire: :grin:):

    Russians and Ukrainians will live exactly as befits brothers and good neighbors after the implementation of the goals of the special operation.Sergey Lavrov · 2024 Jan 22
    For them (the West - TASS) this is about improving their tactical position, but for us this is about our destiny, a matter of life and death. I wanted people that will listen to this [interview with Carlson] to realize that. It’s not up to me to judge whether it hit the mark or not.Vladimir Putin · 2024 Feb 18

    Some developments so far:
    The election was recognized as free and fair.(4)2019 Ukrainian presidential election (Wikipedia)
    • Accession of Ukraine to the European Union » Candidacy (Wikipedia)

    Wouldn't it be cool if Mr Bush, Mr Putin, and various (politically) related persons, headed to The Hague for public hearings and inquiries (and potential trials, depending)? :)

    (end rant, and pardon my French)
  • What Are You Watching Right Now?
    Gave Annihilation (2018) (sci-fi) another spin.
    Had forgotten how creepy the screaming bear-thing is.
    Also reminds me a bit of Solaris (2002).
    I suppose, in a way, it renders something we would likely think of as alive, a lifeform of sorts, whether we (can) recognize it as intelligent or not.
    Defying our/human understanding, hard to relate to in an anthropocentric sense, alien.
    Relatings-to is by the human characters and their interactions.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    , would it be better to say that there are lots of fools (of whatever sort) around?
    It's not confined to people that are extremely ignorant, though. Intellectuals may find faults all over (+ focus/magnify), and hence stoke fires all over. Fault-finding isn't that hard anyway.
    So, choosing the right battles matter.
    (Incidentally another reason that mudslinger-politicians are a turn-off, to me, more so than politicians that focus on what their programs are.)
    Anyway, if the US was significantly weakened on the international stage (which could happen by domestic division or foolery), then others would just jump right in. In the present environment, I'm not all that optimistic in case that was to happen, but I guess we'll see (or might).
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Understanding these arguments is the easier part, agreeing is harder.

    Presidential Address to the Federal Assembly
    Vladimir Putin · The Kremlin · Feb 29, 2024
    Here is a good example of their hypocrisy. They have recently made unfounded allegations, in particular, against Russia, regarding plans to deploy nuclear weapons in space. Such fake narratives, and this story is unequivocally false, are designed to involve us in negotiations on their conditions, which will only benefit the United States.
    We are also aware of the Western attempts to draw us into an arms race, thereby exhausting us, mirroring the strategy they successfully employed with the Soviet Union in the 1980s. Let me remind you that in 1981–1988, the Soviet Union’s military spending amounted to 13 percent of GDP.
    We all know that their claims are utterly baseless. And at the same time, they are selecting targets to strike on our territory and contemplating the most efficient means of destruction. Now they have started talking about the possibility of deploying NATO military contingents to Ukraine.
    But we remember what happened to those who sent their contingents to the territory of our country once before. Today, any potential aggressors will face far graver consequences. They must grasp that we also have weapons – yes, they know this, as I have just said – capable of striking targets on their territory.
    Everything they are inventing now, spooking the world with the threat of a conflict involving nuclear weapons, which potentially means the end of civilisation – don’t they realise this? The problem is that these are people who have never faced profound adversity; they have no conception of the horrors of war. We – even the younger generation of Russians – have endured such trials during the fight against international terrorism in the Caucasus, and now, in the conflict in Ukraine. But they continue to think of this as a kind of action cartoon.
    Indeed, just like any other ideology promoting racism, national superiority or exceptionalism, Russophobia is blinding and stupefying. The United States and its satellites have, in fact, dismantled the European security system which has created risks for everyone.

    Others might comment·suggest·mention·talk ("space weapons", "ground troops") and be recast (in the extreme), or consistently shut up. Either works for the Kremlin as long as the recast is taken seriously. I don't think people are going to shut up. For that matter, the Kremlin circle isn't shy about dishing out nuclear and other threats.

    Did "not ruling out troops on the ground" hit a nerve? Maybe "troops on the ground" is a major concern (fear) of theirs after all. Not NATO though, I think it was just French, maybe some Baltics, and everyone else declined. Well, "our territory" isn't Ukraine; French soldiers in Ukraine isn't French soldiers in Russia; ask anyone but the land grabbers, the significant majority.

    With Gorbachev a kind of optimistic attitude — not Russophobia, but Russo-hug — aired in the world in terms of Russia. Now there's a kind of Kremlin-phobia, largely due to the (present) Kremlin circle, especially in Ukraine. (Is Putin sort of looking for "payback" for the cold war, having learned from that...?)

    As mentioned before, the clear threat to them is against the Kremlin's free reins to bomb, grab land, sham, destabilize, their neo-colonial ambitions, etc. That's one primary "threat" they're faced with. And related to bona fides peace.

    Only they, along with North Korea, are doing nuclear posturing. With the attitude on display, what's to stop them from nuclear blackmail anyway? Hopefully North Korea won't jump on South Korea (whether on a signal from Moscow or not).

    Don't they wonder why their claims·arguments·sentiments are so markedly outnumbered? And apparently need friends like Kim Jong Un? Maybe if they wonder in public they'll go the way of Navalny (not the best way to avoid revolutions).

    Some US-Europe efforts after the 2nd world war that came to mind...
    keep it from happening again
    the Marshall Plan
    keep the USSR from taking over
    How much was in good/bad faith? NATO has helped dull national attention to defense in Europe, which has since been criticized (Obama, the Clown, whoever). I suppose we might compare East/West Germany (back then), North/South Korea, ...

    So, to what end?

    Anyway, good to see that Putin is addressing domestic issues like poverty, even if the details surrounding numbers and such are opaque.
  • Israel killing civilians in Gaza and the West Bank
    Right wing Israeli settlers also seek to expand and these acts should be discouraged/condemned but 10/7 is in no way a justified response to settler aggression.BitconnectCarlos

    And those thefty/violent settlers should be hit by Israeli law and order as readily as we might expect elsewhere. To the extent that Palestinians would trust the justice system. Right, the Hamas attackers "should be discouraged/condemned".
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Putin's address to Russia's parliament
    — Lucy Papachristou, Gareth Jones, John Davison · Reuters · Feb 29, 2024

    Uncanny how little change to the relevant parts could make it a speech by the Ukrainian president instead. Then there's that whiff of alternate world stuff again. So hard life is for poor Mr Putin :cry:. Or Mr Putin's vision, let's say.

    Just about all nuclear posturing lately has come out of the Kremlin circle and North Korea. (2023Oct20, 2024Feb7)

    Why would anyone in their right mind want to invade Russia? (e.g. hostile takeover)
    • Whereas some reasons can be thought up, it doesn't make much sense. (Napoleon, Hitler, Danilov (ukranews 2022Dec1, news360 2022Dec1) are excused.) Besides, it would be a massive + costly undertaking. No one is particularly interested, and most would rather just the Kremlin chill out and democratize instead. Not much by way of threats to invade China, the US, India, Brazil, either.

    What sort of nuclear threat is Russia faced with?
    • Not a whole lot. Russia is already the world's largest country with the largest nuclear weapons stock around (and has long-range delivery). Mutual assured destruction seems a deterrence. If a country with nuclear arms is led by a paranoid/insane person, then the world already has a larger problem. No one is particularly interested in nuking Moscow (barring Ukrainian animosity due to their treatment of Ukraine), and no one is particularly interested in a nuclear world war.

    Omitted above: "backstabbing" (supposed) partners of Russia; long-range attacks; threats to their land-grabbing and neo-colonialism.

    Maybe it's the (present) Kremlin that's the main threat to Russia at the moment? They allegedly have popular domestic support.

    Russia (including Kaliningrad) borders
    • Norway ⁿ
    • Finland ⁿ
    • Estonia ⁿ
    • Latvia ⁿ
    • Lithuania ⁿ
    • Poland ⁿ
    • Belarus ☢
    • Ukraine
    • Georgia
    • Azerbaijan
    • Kazakhstan
    • China ☢
    • Mongolia
    • North Korea ☢ †

    Belarus borders
    • Poland ⁿ
    • Lithuania ⁿ
    • Latvia ⁿ
    • Russia ☢ †
    • Ukraine

    ⁿ NATO member
    ☢ presence of nuclear weapons (theconversation 2022Apr1)
    † nuclear posturing
  • Ukraine Crisis
    :D

    Pesky to announce that the Kremlin is carefully considering their request to come to the aid of their operativ...err...pu...cough compatriots, ahem after a proper democratic vote of course (ending separatism), and that violations against Transnistrian brothers and sisters will be addressed.
  • Israel killing civilians in Gaza and the West Bank
    Thanks for the history lesson, . Wash? No, observation.
  • Israel killing civilians in Gaza and the West Bank
    Fellas, the heated he-did-she-did routine isn't really adding much. The Middle East thing has been developing (unveloping) since, let's say, the end of the 2nd world war, to the point of a tragic dead-lock/cycle of sorts, replete with bad actors and distrust on all sides. Think there's a way to regain some trust? Perhaps to dampen things at least?
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Another example of tiptoeing around Russia:

    Scholz Reiterates No Taurus Delivery To Avoid Ukraine War Involvement
    — dpa via RFE/RL · Feb 26, 2024

    Although (vaguely)...

    Macron refuses to rule out putting troops on ground in Ukraine in call to galvanise Europe
    — Patrick Wintour · The Guardian · Feb 27, 2024

    Orlov isn't so vague:

    Rights campaigner calls Russia 'fascist' in court
    — Lucy Papachristou, Gabrielle Tetrault-Farber, Mark Trevelyan, Philippa Fletcher · Reuters · Feb 27, 2024

    Macron's sort-of-suggestion doesn't seem likely though, at least not at the moment.